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April Release of Global CAPEX/OPEX Tracking Study Finds Increased 2011 CAPEX and O&M Budgets Planned for Several Smart Grid-Related Automation and Infrastructure Categories

Utility CAPEX/OPEX Report Published with Results of First Quarter 2011 Newton-Evans Study of Electric Power T&D Investment

Ellicott City, Maryland – April 4, 2011. The Newton-Evans Research Company today announced the publication of its fourth study in the multi-year tracking research program looking into electric power utility CAPEX budgets related to smart grid investments and infrastructure spending plans.

Findings from the first quarter 2011 Newton-Evans global tracking study of electric power transmission and distribution investment remain positive, comparable with the three earlier tracking studies conducted in 2008, 2009 and 2010. Each of five smart grid component areas, plus transmission and distribution infrastructure development, has been reported by utilities located in 28 countries to more likely be either “increased” or “unchanged” rather than “decreased” from the 2010 study. The highest percentages of officials reporting increases were in the areas of substation automation and energy management systems. See Figure 1.

O&M budgets reflect a somewhat different story. Most categories of O&M spending were less likely to see an increase from the budgets of a year ago. Distribution infrastructure appears to be the key victim, with 17% of the respondents indicating a lower figure budgeted for 2011 O&M expense for distribution network operations and maintenance activities.

In summary, smart grid initiatives were cited as being more important factors stimulating increased CAPEX investments than was either regulatory mandates or stimulus funding. Government stimulus programs are now viewed as much less of a factor on CAPEX and O&M budget increases compared with what had been reported in the three earlier studies.

Likewise, decreases in CAPEX budgets were once again reported to be caused first and foremost by the economic outlook for 2011, a more important regional response factor to the study participants than regulatory mandates. See Figure 2.

Figure 1. Comparison of Planned 2011 CAPEX  Investment for Smart Grid Programs.

Smart Grid Component and Infrastructure Category Increase Likely (2010 to 2011) No Change (2010 to 2011) Decrease likely (2010 to 2011)
EMS/SCADA 50% 45% 5%
Substation Automation & Integration 51% 41% 8%
Protection & Control Relays 43% 52% 5%
Distribution Automation & Field IEDs 45% 51% 4%
A M I 48% 45% 7%
Transmission 49% 39% 12%
Distribution 43% 43% 15%

Figure 2a. Rationale for Expected CAPEX Increases

Reason for Increases Yes 2011 No 2011 Yes 2012 No 2012
Regulatory Mandates 44% 56% 43% 57%
Smart Grid Initiatives 57% 43% 58% 42%
Government Stimulus 22% 78% 19% 81%

Fig. 2b. Rationale for Expected CAPEX Decreases

Reason for Decreases Yes 2010 No 2010 Yes 2011 No 2011
Regulatory Change 18% 82% Not Asked Not Asked
Unfavorable Economic Outlook 77% 23% 57% 43%
Stimulus Funding Depleted Not Asked Not Asked 27% 73%

The new 112-page 2011 edition includes information about relative market trends and market size estimates for major smart grid building blocks, including transmission and distribution network control systems, protection and control systems, substation automation and integration, distribution automation and advanced metering infrastructure as well as for transmission and distribution infrastructure.

Global CAPEX and O&M Expenditure Outlook for Electric Power T&D Investments: 2011-2012 Funding Outlook for Smart Grid Development is the fourth in the Newton-Evans’ Research Company’s smart grid investment tracking series.

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